The change nobody told you about
Did you know the rule changed? With Lei nº 14.803/2024 (the 2024 Brazilian law that amended the private pension rules), the decision between the progressive and the regressive regime is no longer tied to the moment you join the plan. In the cases provided for by law, it can be made up until you start receiving benefits or request your first withdrawal. Think about it: if you could choose with the income, the time horizon and the goals you have today, rather than with what you knew 5, 10 or 15 years ago, would you have chosen the same thing? For many people, the answer is no. And one point demands attention: once the choice is formalized under the current conditions, it is irrevocable. There is no second chance after the withdrawal. There is a window, and it is open right now, for those who haven't gotten there yet.
Progressive or regressive: which question should you be asking?
It's not "which regime is better". Neither is, in the abstract. The right question is: given your time horizon, the way you will receive the money and your projected income, which regime works in your favor, and which one works against you without you noticing? Under the progressive regime, taxation follows the progressive income tax table, taking into account the rules that apply to benefits or withdrawals. Under the regressive regime, the rate falls with the time of accumulation: it starts at 35% and can reach 10% for funds held for more than ten years, counted per contribution, not by the age of the plan. If you haven't done this calculation for your specific case, who did it for you?
PGBL, the simplified return and an uncomfortable question
Do you know whether you are still using the main tax benefit of your PGBL (one of Brazil's two private pension products, along with the VGBL)? A PGBL lets you deduct contributions up to 12% of annual taxable gross income, but only for those who file the complete income tax return. Those who file the simplified return, as a rule, do not get this advantage, and still pay tax on withdrawal on the full amount, principal plus earnings. If that is your case: what exactly are you gaining by keeping the structure as it is? There may be a good answer. But it has to be found, not assumed.
Succession: the question whose answer changed
For years, whether ITCMD (the Brazilian state tax on inheritance and gifts) applied to private pension was a gray area. That changed. In its ruling on Tema 1.214, the Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF, Brazil's Supreme Court) held that it is unconstitutional to charge ITCMD on the transfer of PGBL and VGBL amounts to beneficiaries because of the death of the account holder. The question: is your plan structured, in terms of beneficiaries, form of receipt and origin of the funds, in a way that takes advantage of this ruling, or only by chance? This does not mean that private pension replaces succession planning. Forced heirs (herdeiros necessários), the legítima (the share of the estate the law reserves for them) and the organization of the estate still require specific legal analysis, case by case. But it does mean that ignoring this piece of the plan has a cost, and that cost can now be measured more clearly.